As temperatures start to plummet, it's got us wondering what are the chances of snow on Christmas Day?

While it is hard to predict when snow might fall in the UK, Met Office spokesperson Nicola Maxey told The I Newspaper that December 25th still sits outside the range of its long-term forecast, meaning it is "too far ahead" to provide accurate information.

"There is often a fine line between who sees snow and who sees rain. Sometimes just a fraction of a degree Celsius change in temperature can make the difference between rain or snow falling, making forecasting snow weeks in advance extremely difficult," she says.

"Freezing temperatures do not guarantee snow," either – "you need moisture in the air too."

While the forecast for the festive period remains "very uncertain," according to Sky News weather producer, Christopher England says "there's a small chance of something more wintry developing after Christmas and into the New Year."

As part of the Met Office's long range forecast, which covers the period between December 16th and January 9th, "the chance of a colder spell of weather, with hazards such as snow and ice, does increase later in December and into the New Year period. However, on balance conditions are most likely to remain generally mild and wetter than average."

So, we will still need to keep an eye on our local weather reports as we get closer to Christmas Day and the holiday period more generally.

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Andrew_Howe//Getty Images

According to research by the Met Office, we are more likely to see snow between January and March than in December, with snow or sleet falling an average 3.9 days in December. Many of us might be dreaming of a white Christmas, but climate change has sadly meant the chances of snowfall over the holidays are slim.

In fact, the last widespread white Christmas in the UK was back in 2010 and was described by forecasters as "extremely unusual". Not only was there snow on the ground at 83% of stations (the highest amount ever recorded), but snow or sleet also fell at 19% of stations. More recently, however, 2020 was recorded as a white Christmas after parts of East Yorkshire and Suffolk woke up to a beautiful dusting of white.

snow covered queen anne's lace flowers also known as daucus carota in a winter gardenpinterest
Jacky Parker Photography//Getty Images

If you do want to check whether it will snow in your local area, keep an eye on the Met Office website for up-to-date information five days beforehand. You can also type your local area into their long-range forecast to get a glimpse into what is to come.

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    Lisa Joyner
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     Lisa Joyner is the Deputy Daily Editor at House Beautiful UK and Country Living UK, where she's busy writing about home and interiors, gardening, dog breeds, pets, health and wellbeing, countryside news, small space inspiration, and the hottest properties on the market. Previously, she has written for Conde Nast Traveller, House & Garden and Marie Claire magazine. Lisa studied at University For The Creative Arts, where she completed a BA in Fashion Journalism.  

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    Ellis Cochrane is a Freelance Contributor for House Beautiful UK and Country Living UK, covering everything from expert tips and tricks, to gardening advice, product roundups and the newest properties to hit the market. Ellis has been writing about homes, interiors and gardens for four years now, and her work has also been published on Ideal Home, Prima and Elle Japan. Over the years, Ellis has also written at a number of publications such as Cosmopolitan, Tyla, Daily Express, Expert Reviews UK, Stylist and IndyBest, covering beauty and style, TV and films, books and celebrity news. Ellis studied at the University of Strathclyde, where she completed a Joint BA Hons Degree in English and Politics. Follow Ellis on Instagram at @ellistuesday.